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ケインズの蓋然性論とナイトの不確実性論 : 奇跡の1921年を考える
http://hdl.handle.net/10441/12391
http://hdl.handle.net/10441/12391ef7e9c91-152c-4bb0-81e1-c1a23b8af11c
| 名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
|---|---|---|
酒井泰弘.pdf (1.0 MB)
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| Item type | 紀要論文 / Departmental Bulletin Paper(1) | |||||||
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| 公開日 | 2014-01-14 | |||||||
| タイトル | ||||||||
| タイトル | ケインズの蓋然性論とナイトの不確実性論 : 奇跡の1921年を考える | |||||||
| 言語 | ||||||||
| 言語 | jpn | |||||||
| 資源タイプ | ||||||||
| 資源タイプ識別子 | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 | |||||||
| 資源タイプ | departmental bulletin paper | |||||||
| 著者 |
酒井, 泰弘
× 酒井, 泰弘
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| 著者(ヨミ) | ||||||||
| 姓名 | サカイ, ヤスヒロ | |||||||
| 著者別名 | ||||||||
| 姓名 | Sakai, Yasuhiro | |||||||
| 抄録 | ||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||||
| 内容記述 | The main purpose of this paper is to critically discuss and lucidly compare J. M. Keynes (1883- 1946) and F. H. Knight (1886-1972), two towering figures in the history of economic thought. It is in 1921 that they both published apparently similar books on risk, probability and uncertainty. While Knight’ contribution on the economics of risk and uncertainty has been well-known and very influential in the economics profession, Keynes’accomplishments on probability and uncertainty have been more or less underestimated in the dark shadow of his most famous book (1936) The General Theory of Unemployment, Interest and Money. The present paper aims to focus on an earlier yet equally important book (1921) A Treatise on Probability, hopefully shedding a new light on his outstanding ideas and everlasting influences on his later works including The General Theory. According to Keynes, many probabilities, which are incapable of numerical measurement, can be placed nevertheless between numerical upper and lower limits. Keynes has demonstrated whether and to what extent animal spirits contributes to the working and performance of the market economy. Remarkably, Keynes' concept of probability and uncertainty can be well-compared to Knight's distinction between a measurable risk and a non-measurable uncertainty. I believe that it is high time for us to unify Keynes and Knight into a new, comprehensive approach to very complex human behavior. |
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| 引用 | ||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||
| 内容記述 | 彦根論叢, 第398号, pp. 50-69 | |||||||
| 引用 | ||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||
| 内容記述 | The Hikone Ronso, No.398, pp. 50-69 | |||||||
| 書誌情報 |
彦根論叢 号 第398号, p. 50-69, 発行日 2013-12 |
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| ISSN | ||||||||
| 収録物識別子タイプ | ISSN | |||||||
| 収録物識別子 | 0387-5989 | |||||||
| 書誌レコードID | ||||||||
| 収録物識別子タイプ | NCID | |||||||
| 収録物識別子 | AA1208814X | |||||||
| タイトル（ヨミ） | ||||||||
| その他のタイトル | ケインズ ノ ガイゼンセイロン ト ナイト ノ フカクジツセイロン キセキ ノ 1921ネン オ カンガエル | |||||||
| その他の言語のタイトル | ||||||||
| その他のタイトル | J. M. Keynes’ Theory of Probability versus F. H. Knight's Theory of Uncertainty : Reflections on the Miracle Year of 1921 | |||||||
| 出版者 | ||||||||
| 出版者 | 滋賀大学経済学会 | |||||||
| 資源タイプ | ||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||
| 内容記述 | Departmental Bulletin Paper | |||||||
